Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.457922 0.589736 0.732669 0.897145 1.079339 1.273363 1.494069
2025-03-16 0.251898 0.418397 0.620200 0.872356 1.170370 1.504340 1.900547
2025-03-23 0.168034 0.346483 0.582071 0.892947 1.274807 1.714887 2.248412
2025-03-30 0.105128 0.282044 0.538633 0.895605 1.349470 1.885075 2.545940
2025-04-06 0.057817 0.221341 0.486523 0.876186 1.388248 2.005706 2.779456
2025-04-13 0.038678 0.200802 0.486573 0.921893 1.505746 2.218855 3.120514
2025-04-20 0.025050 0.184014 0.488457 0.967473 1.621262 2.428374 3.456415
2025-04-27 0.016172 0.172723 0.496530 1.020102 1.744896 2.647271 3.803261
2025-05-04 0.012671 0.175071 0.526898 1.104535 1.910360 2.918183 4.213196
2025-05-11 0.007314 0.165242 0.534188 1.154178 2.029033 3.130482 4.552068
2025-05-18 0.002119 0.143765 0.516951 1.165318 2.094782 3.275567 4.808598
2025-05-25 NaN 0.104480 0.457571 1.107604 2.063905 3.296332 4.911319
2025-06-01 NaN 0.068966 0.396620 1.045194 2.028295 3.315612 5.019613
2025-06-08 NaN 0.047226 0.357967 1.014694 2.035162 3.388555 5.194229
2025-06-15 NaN 0.039229 0.352125 1.037988 2.117684 3.558992 5.489637
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029147 0.335433 1.040593 2.169305 3.688427 5.733397
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018036 0.307235 1.019635 2.184667 3.768878 5.914602
2025-07-06 NaN 0.016814 0.317237 1.069095 2.304563 3.988352 6.271996
2025-07-13 NaN 0.015684 0.327157 1.118355 2.424238 4.207688 6.629458
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015402 0.340991 1.175127 2.555331 4.442486 7.006840
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018631 0.372545 1.266002 2.737964 4.746506 7.472555
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017917 0.384454 1.319324 2.864189 4.975199 7.842712
2025-08-10 NaN 0.013400 0.375066 1.331279 2.927871 5.120060 8.106237